Resolved market scorecard
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?: result and scorecard
Resolved ↑ $7,300. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 84.0%; a week before, 63.0%. $602K traded in total.
Result
↑ $7,300
resolved May 6, 2026
Price 1 day before
84.0%
Market leaned the right way
Price 7 days before
63.0%
30 days before: 13.5%
Volume
$602K
17 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| ↑ $7,300 | WON |
| ↑ $7,150 | WON |
| ↑ $7,450 | WON |
| ↑ $7,050 | WON |
| ↑ $7,600 | WON |
| ↓ $6,500 | WON |
| ↓ $6,700 | WON |
| ↓ $6,600 | WON |
| ↓ $6,000 | LOST |
| ↓ $6,300 | LOST |
| ↑ $7,700 | LOST |
| ↑ $8,000 | LOST |
| ↓ $6,900 | LOST |
| ↑ $7,850 | LOST |
| ↓ $6,700 | LOST |
| ↓ $7,100 | LOST |
| ↓ $6,500 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
↑ $7,300↑ $7,150↑ $7,450↑ $7,050
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 84% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- How did "What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?" resolve?
- It resolved ↑ $7,300 around June 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 84.0% one day before close, 63.0% one week before and 13.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $602K across 17 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.