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Home / Markets / South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?: result and scorecard

Resolved 3.5–3.9%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 74.3%; a week before, 70.9%. $58K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:09 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

3.5–3.9%
resolved July 23, 2026

Price 1 day before

74.3%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

70.9%
30 days before: 25.9%

Volume

$58K
8 outcomes

EconomySouth KoreaGDP

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
3.5–3.9%WON$11K
3.0–3.4%LOST$20K
2.5–2.9%LOST$8K
4.0–4.4%LOST$5K
4.5%+LOST$4K
1.5–1.9%LOST$4K
<1.5%LOST$4K
2.0–2.4%LOST$2K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2406-0807-23
3.5–3.9%3.0–3.4%2.5–2.9%4.0–4.4%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 74% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01

Frequently asked questions

How did "South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?" resolve?
It resolved 3.5–3.9% around July 23, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 74.3% one day before close, 70.9% one week before and 25.9% one month before.
How much was traded?
$58K across 8 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.