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Home / Markets / Reserve Bank of India decision in February?
Resolved market scorecard

Reserve Bank of India decision in February?: result and scorecard

Resolved No Change. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 96.6%; a week before, 88.0%. $14K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No Change
resolved February 6, 2026

Price 1 day before

96.6%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

88.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$14K
3 outcomes

IndiaEconomic PolicyWorldEconomyRBI

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
No ChangeWON$7K
IncreaseLOST$4K
DecreaseLOST$3K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2201-2902-06
No ChangeIncreaseDecrease
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 97% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s February meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its February 6, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of India calendar: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=60062 This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their February 6, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Reserve Bank of India decision in February?" resolve?
It resolved No Change around February 6, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 96.6% one day before close, 88.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$14K across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.