OpenRouter token usage week of November 2?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 205T+ at 79.0%, ahead of 195-205T at 15.0%. $21K traded across 5 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 205T+ | 79.0% | +5.0 |
| 195-205T | 15.0% | +1.0 |
| 185-195T | 2.1% | -0.9 |
| 175-185T | 1.7% | -0.5 |
| <175T | 0.9% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the total number of tokens processed on OpenRouter for the week of November 2 to November 8, 2026. The total number of tokens is the weekly total displayed in the Top Models chart on OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings page (https://openrouter.ai/rankings#top-models). OpenRouter's weeks run from 12:00 AM UTC on Monday to 11:59 PM UTC on Sunday, and a week's figures continue to update until the following week's figures are first displayed. This market will resolve according to the total displayed for the week of November 2 to November 8, 2026 once the figures for the week of November 9, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of November 9, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 13, 2026, this market will resolve according to the total displayed for the week of November 2 to November 8, 2026 at that time. This market will resolve based on the total as displayed on the chart, including any rounding applied by OpenRouter. If the displayed total falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "OpenRouter token usage week of November 2?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 205T+ is the favorite at 79.0%, followed by 195-205T at 15.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 9, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $21K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $8K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.