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Home / Markets / Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.
Resolved market scorecard

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.: result and scorecard

Resolved 5.2%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 30.0%; a week before, 20.0%. $436 traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

5.2%
resolved March 19, 2026

Price 1 day before

30.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

20.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$436
6 outcomes

EconomyUnited KingdomemploymentBritainMacro Indicators

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
5.2%WON$0
≤5.0%LOST$436
5.1%LOST$0
5.3%LOST$0
5.4%LOST$0
≥5.5%LOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-1803-0403-19
5.2%≤5.0%5.1%5.3%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 30% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K." resolve?
It resolved 5.2% around March 19, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 30.0% one day before close, 20.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$436 across 6 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.