North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?: result and scorecard
Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 58.0%; a week before, –. $25K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Kim Jong UnGeopoliticsNorth Korea
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | WON |
| No | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?" resolve?
- It resolved Yes around April 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 58.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $25K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.