LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Resolved market scorecard

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: result and scorecard

Resolved Navi Pillay. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $32.3M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Navi Pillay
resolved October 9, 2026

Price 1 day before

–
Unknown

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$32.3M
71 outcomes

AwardsPoliticsGeopoliticsWorldNobel Prize

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Navi PillayWON$39K
Donald TrumpLOST$8.0M
UNRWALOST$2.1M
Yulia NavalnayaLOST$2.0M
Xi JinpingLOST$1.5M
Greta ThunbergLOST$1.5M
Charlie KirkLOST$1.3M
Ahmed al-SharaaLOST$1.3M
Elon MuskLOST$1.2M
Mohammed bin SalmanLOST$1.2M
International Court of JusticeLOST$1.2M
Julian AssangeLOST$1.2M
Recep Tayyip ErdoğanLOST$1.1M
Pope Leo XIVLOST$1.0M
Vladimir PutinLOST$958K
Volodymyr ZelenskyyLOST$935K
Khaled MashalLOST$913K
Tamim bin Hamad Al ThaniLOST$895K
Benjamin NetanyahuLOST$797K
Narendra ModiLOST$704K
António GuterresLOST$669K
Sara Al-SaqqaLOST$296K
Sudan's Emergency Response RoomsLOST$281K
Mykola KulebaLOST$228K
International Criminal CourtLOST$141K
Committee to Protect JournalistsLOST$110K
Hussam Abu SafiyaLOST$103K
Save the ChildrenLOST$97K
Mark CarneyLOST$75K
Jimmy LaiLOST$70K
International Space StationLOST$46K
Chow Hang-tungLOST$43K
World Central KitchenLOST$28K
Yad VashemLOST$18K
Reporters Without BordersLOST$18K
International Association of JudgesLOST$18K
Sviatlana TsikhanouskayaLOST$16K
UNHCRLOST$15K
Ilham TohtiLOST$15K
Doctors Without BordersLOST$14K
ICRCLOST$14K
International Peace Research AssociationLOST$13K
Parents Circle – Families ForumLOST$12K
Person WLOST$0
Person XLOST$0
Person YLOST$0
Person ZLOST$0
Person AALOST$0
Person ABLOST$0
Person ACLOST$0
Person ADLOST$0
Person AELOST$0
Person AFLOST$0
Person AGLOST$0
Person AHLOST$0
Person AILOST$0
Person AJLOST$0
Person AKLOST$0
Person ALLOST$0
Person AMLOST$0
Person ANLOST$0
Person AOLOST$0
Person APLOST$0
Person AQLOST$0
Person ARLOST$0
Person ASLOST$0
Person ATLOST$0
Person AULOST$0
Person AVLOST$0
Person AWLOST$0
Person AXLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-1704-1310-09
Donald TrumpUNRWAYulia Navalnaya
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at – the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026" resolve?
It resolved Navi Pillay around April 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$32.3M across 71 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.