Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: result and scorecard
Resolved Navi Pillay. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $32.3M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
AwardsPoliticsGeopoliticsWorldNobel Prize
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Navi Pillay | WON |
| Donald Trump | LOST |
| UNRWA | LOST |
| Yulia Navalnaya | LOST |
| Xi Jinping | LOST |
| Greta Thunberg | LOST |
| Charlie Kirk | LOST |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | LOST |
| Elon Musk | LOST |
| Mohammed bin Salman | LOST |
| International Court of Justice | LOST |
| Julian Assange | LOST |
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | LOST |
| Pope Leo XIV | LOST |
| Vladimir Putin | LOST |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | LOST |
| Khaled Mashal | LOST |
| Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani | LOST |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | LOST |
| Narendra Modi | LOST |
| António Guterres | LOST |
| Sara Al-Saqqa | LOST |
| Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | LOST |
| Mykola Kuleba | LOST |
| International Criminal Court | LOST |
| Committee to Protect Journalists | LOST |
| Hussam Abu Safiya | LOST |
| Save the Children | LOST |
| Mark Carney | LOST |
| Jimmy Lai | LOST |
| International Space Station | LOST |
| Chow Hang-tung | LOST |
| World Central Kitchen | LOST |
| Yad Vashem | LOST |
| Reporters Without Borders | LOST |
| International Association of Judges | LOST |
| Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya | LOST |
| UNHCR | LOST |
| Ilham Tohti | LOST |
| Doctors Without Borders | LOST |
| ICRC | LOST |
| International Peace Research Association | LOST |
| Parents Circle – Families Forum | LOST |
| Person W | LOST |
| Person X | LOST |
| Person Y | LOST |
| Person Z | LOST |
| Person AA | LOST |
| Person AB | LOST |
| Person AC | LOST |
| Person AD | LOST |
| Person AE | LOST |
| Person AF | LOST |
| Person AG | LOST |
| Person AH | LOST |
| Person AI | LOST |
| Person AJ | LOST |
| Person AK | LOST |
| Person AL | LOST |
| Person AM | LOST |
| Person AN | LOST |
| Person AO | LOST |
| Person AP | LOST |
| Person AQ | LOST |
| Person AR | LOST |
| Person AS | LOST |
| Person AT | LOST |
| Person AU | LOST |
| Person AV | LOST |
| Person AW | LOST |
| Person AX | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026" resolve?
- It resolved Navi Pillay around April 1, 2027.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $32.3M across 71 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.