Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?: result and scorecard
Resolved No release by July 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.8%; a week before, 96.0%. $379K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| No release by July 31 | WON |
| July 17 | LOST |
| July 30 | LOST |
| July 24 | LOST |
| July 15 | LOST |
| July 21 | LOST |
| July 29 | LOST |
| July 16 | LOST |
| July 23 | LOST |
| July 31 | LOST |
| July 14 | LOST |
| July 28 | LOST |
| July 18 | LOST |
| July 22 | LOST |
| July 20 | LOST |
| July 19 | LOST |
| July 26 | LOST |
| July 25 | LOST |
| July 9 | LOST |
| July 27 | LOST |
| July 6 | LOST |
| July 13 | LOST |
| July 12 | LOST |
| July 11 | LOST |
| July 8 | LOST |
| July 7 | LOST |
| On or prior to July 1 | LOST |
| July 3 | LOST |
| July 2 | LOST |
| July 5 | LOST |
| July 10 | LOST |
| July 4 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" resolve?
- It resolved No release by July 31 around July 31, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.8% one day before close, 96.0% one week before and 9.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $379K across 32 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.