Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?: result and scorecard
Resolved No release by June 30. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 97.5%; a week before, 93.8%. $243K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
AITechGeminigoogleRewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| No release by June 30 | WON |
| June 30 | LOST |
| June 23 | LOST |
| June 9 | LOST |
| June 26 | LOST |
| June 29 | LOST |
| June 24 | LOST |
| June 4 | LOST |
| June 25 | LOST |
| June 22 | LOST |
| June 16 | LOST |
| June 11 | LOST |
| June 17 | LOST |
| June 28 | LOST |
| June 27 | LOST |
| June 13 | LOST |
| June 19 | LOST |
| June 18 | LOST |
| June 12 | LOST |
| June 14 | LOST |
| June 3 | LOST |
| June 15 | LOST |
| June 20 | LOST |
| June 21 | LOST |
| June 5 | LOST |
| June 10 | LOST |
| June 6 | LOST |
| June 7 | LOST |
| June 8 | LOST |
| On or prior to June 2 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" resolve?
- It resolved No release by June 30 around June 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.5% one day before close, 93.8% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $243K across 30 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.