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Home / Markets / Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.7+) released by...?
Resolved market scorecard

Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.7+) released by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved August 13. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $13K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

August 13
resolved August 13, 2026

Price 1 day before

–
Unknown

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$13K
4 outcomes

AITechGeminigoogleAI Releases

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
August 13WON$4K
August 15WON$4K
August 31WON$3K
August 14WON$2K

Price history to resolution

Not enough price history yet for a chart.
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at – the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying Google Gemini model must be named “Flash” and be designated as version 3.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, gemini-3.7-flash, gemini-3.8-flash, or gemini-4.0-flash-preview, or similar would qualify. Models whose displayed name does not include “Flash,” or which retain a version designation below 3.7, such as gemini-3.0-flash-high, gemini-3.5-flash, or gemini-3.6-flash-preview, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.7+) released by...?" resolve?
It resolved August 13 around August 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$13K across 4 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.