Muse on Meta glasses by...?: live odds and probabilities

Market rules and resolution

At Meta Connect on September 23, 2026, Meta announced that Muse, its personal AI agent, would come to its AI glasses in the coming months (see: https://about.fb.com/news/2026/09/the-biggest-news-from-connect-2026/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes Muse available on any of its AI glasses by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Muse will be considered available on Meta's AI glasses if Meta releases a feature allowing users to give instructions to their Muse personal AI agent through the glasses. A qualifying release must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or a gradual rollout. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to paid subscription plans or to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.