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Home / Markets / MLB: Home Runs Leader
Resolved market scorecard

MLB: Home Runs Leader: result and scorecard

Resolved Pete Crow-Armstrong. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 47.5%; a week before, –. $3.3M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Pete Crow-Armstrong
resolved September 28, 2026

Price 1 day before

47.5%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$3.3M
102 outcomes

MLBHome runsbaseballSportsRewards 50, 4.5, 20

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Pete Crow-ArmstrongWON$54K
Mike TroutLOST$1.7M
Juan SotoLOST$649K
Brandon LoweLOST$471K
CJ AbramsLOST$206K
Kyle SchwarberLOST$99K
Yordan AlvarezLOST$16K
Munetaka MurakamiLOST$11K
James WoodLOST$10K
Matt OlsonLOST$6K
Junior CamineroLOST$6K
Aaron JudgeLOST$5K
Ben RiceLOST$4K
Shohei OhtaniLOST$3K
Pete AlonsoLOST$2K
Nick KurtzLOST$2K
Elly De La CruzLOST$1K
Shea LangeliersLOST$1K
Eugenio SuarezLOST$922
Sal StewartLOST$827
Cal RaleighLOST$772
Jordan WalkerLOST$734
Giancarlo StantonLOST$664
Rafael DeversLOST$659
Manny MachadoLOST$547
George SpringerLOST$535
Hunter GoodmanLOST$209
Player CLOST$0
Player DLOST$0
Player ELOST$0
Player FLOST$0
Player GLOST$0
Player HLOST$0
Player ILOST$0
Player JLOST$0
Player KLOST$0
Player LLOST$0
Player MLOST$0
Player NLOST$0
Player OLOST$0
Player PLOST$0
Player QLOST$0
Player RLOST$0
Player SLOST$0
Player TLOST$0
Player ULOST$0
Player VLOST$0
Player WLOST$0
Player XLOST$0
Player YLOST$0
Player ZLOST$0
Player AALOST$0
Player ABLOST$0
Player ACLOST$0
Player ADLOST$0
Player AELOST$0
Player AFLOST$0
Player AGLOST$0
Player AHLOST$0
Player AILOST$0
Player AJLOST$0
Player AKLOST$0
Player ALLOST$0
Player AMLOST$0
Player ANLOST$0
Player AOLOST$0
Player APLOST$0
Player AQLOST$0
Player ARLOST$0
Player ASLOST$0
Player ATLOST$0
Player AULOST$0
Player AVLOST$0
Player AWLOST$0
Player AXLOST$0
Player AYLOST$0
Player AZLOST$0
Player BALOST$0
Player BBLOST$0
Player BCLOST$0
Player BDLOST$0
Player BELOST$0
Player BFLOST$0
Player BGLOST$0
Player BHLOST$0
Player BILOST$0
Player BJLOST$0
Player BKLOST$0
Player BLLOST$0
Player BMLOST$0
Player BNLOST$0
Player BOLOST$0
Player BPLOST$0
Player BQLOST$0
Player BRLOST$0
Player BSLOST$0
Player BTLOST$0
Player BULOST$0
Player BVLOST$0
Player BWLOST$0
Player BXLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2307-1109-28
Pete Crow-ArmstrongMike TroutJuan SotoBrandon Lowe
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 48% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "MLB: Home Runs Leader" resolve?
It resolved Pete Crow-Armstrong around October 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 47.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$3.3M across 102 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.