MLB: 2026 AL MVP : live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Yordan Alvarez at 97.9%, ahead of Junior Caminero at 2.4%. $1.1M traded across 20 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
MLBSportsAmerican Leaguemvpbaseball
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 97.9% | +0.7 |
| Junior Caminero | 2.4% | -0.4 |
| Cam Schlittler | 0.5% | -0.2 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Corey Seager | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Mike Trout | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Ben Rice | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Nick Kurtz | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Dillon Dingler | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Wilson Contreras | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Munetaka Murakami | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Pete Alonso | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "MLB: 2026 AL MVP "?
- As of November 6, 2026, Yordan Alvarez is the favorite at 97.9%, followed by Junior Caminero at 2.4%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $1.1M in total and $40 in the last 24 hours, with about $66K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.