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Live market data

MLB: NL Manager of the Year: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Pat Murphy at 98.2%, ahead of Walt Weiss at 1.3%. $212K traded across 17 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

98.2%
Pat Murphy · Trade →

24h move

-0.1
pts · 7d +5.9

Volume

$212K
24h $271 · liquidity $178K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

baseballAwardsmanagerSportsMLB

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Pat Murphy98.2% -0.1+5.9$37K0.9¢
Walt Weiss1.3% +0.4-5.3$38K1.5¢
Craig Stammen0.3% -0.2+0.1$4K0.3¢
Carlos Mendoza0.1% 0.00.0$25K0.1¢
Rob Thomson0.1% 0.00.0$59K0.1¢
Don Mattingly0.1% 0.00.0$9980.2¢
Torey Lovullo0.1% 0.00.0$3K0.1¢
Craig Counsell0.1% 0.00.0$2K0.1¢
Terry Francona0.1% 0.00.0$4K0.1¢
Warren Schaeffer0.1% 0.00.0$5K0.1¢
Clayton McCullough0.1% 0.00.0$7K0.1¢
Don Kelly0.1% 0.00.0$2K0.1¢
Tony Vitello0.1% 0.00.0$2K0.1¢
Oliver Marmol0.1% 0.00.0$18K0.1¢
Dave Roberts0.1% 0.00.0$2K0.1¢
Blake Butera0.1% 0.00.0$4K0.1¢
Andy Green0.1% 0.0-0.1$4800.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%03-2707-1711-06
Pat MurphyWalt WeissCraig StammenCarlos Mendoza

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Pat Murphy at 98% risks 98¢ to win 2¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "MLB: NL Manager of the Year"?
As of November 6, 2026, Pat Murphy is the favorite at 98.2%, followed by Walt Weiss at 1.3%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$212K in total and $271 in the last 24 hours, with about $178K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

MLB: NL Rookie of the YearMLB Playoffs: Team to advance to 2027 World SeriesKBO Playoff: KT Wiz vs. Samsung LionsMLB: AL Manager of the YearMLB: 2026 AL MVP MLB: Outstanding DH WinnerMLB: NL Comeback Player of the YearMLB: 2026 NL Cy Young WinnerAll live marketsMarkets resolving this weekPrediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.