MLB: 2026 NL MVP: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Pete Crow-Armstrong at 99.4%, ahead of Shohei Ohtani at 1.1%. $1.4M traded across 18 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 99.4% | +0.7 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 1.1% | +0.7 |
| Juan Soto | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Mookie Betts | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Andy Pages | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| James Wood | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Jordan Walker | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Otto Lopez | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Matt Olson | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "MLB: 2026 NL MVP"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Pete Crow-Armstrong is the favorite at 99.4%, followed by Shohei Ohtani at 1.1%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $1.4M in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $119K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.