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Home / Markets / MLB: ERA Leader
Resolved market scorecard

MLB: ERA Leader: result and scorecard

Resolved Jacob Misiorowski. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 95.5%; a week before, –. $1.8M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Jacob Misiorowski
resolved September 28, 2026

Price 1 day before

95.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$1.8M
86 outcomes

MLBbaseballSportsERARewards 50, 4.5, 20

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Jacob MisiorowskiWON$4K
Jeffrey SpringsLOST$1.1M
Bryan WooLOST$631K
Shohei OhtaniLOST$10K
Dylan CeaseLOST$9K
Cristopher SánchezLOST$9K
Seth LugoLOST$6K
Paul SkenesLOST$4K
Yoshinobu YamamotoLOST$4K
José SorianoLOST$3K
Tarik SkubalLOST$2K
Logan WebbLOST$2K
Eduardo RodriguezLOST$2K
Hunter BrownLOST$1K
Max FriedLOST$1K
Andrew AbbottLOST$1K
Brayan BelloLOST$1K
Bryce ElderLOST$1K
Garrett CrochetLOST$1K
Carmen MlodzinskiLOST$1K
Nick PivettaLOST$1K
Nolan McLeanLOST$996
Freddy PeraltaLOST$938
Taj BradleyLOST$932
Reynaldo LópezLOST$898
Gavin WilliamsLOST$848
Chad PatrickLOST$763
Jacob deGromLOST$738
Connelly EarlyLOST$664
Clay HolmesLOST$629
Michael WachaLOST$602
Matthew BoydLOST$598
Emerson HancockLOST$486
Joe RyanLOST$446
Merrill KellyLOST$407
Cam SchlittlerLOST$381
Carlos RodónLOST$314
Chris SaleLOST$304
Player DLOST$0
Player ELOST$0
Player FLOST$0
Player GLOST$0
Player HLOST$0
Player ILOST$0
Player JLOST$0
Player KLOST$0
Player LLOST$0
Player MLOST$0
Player NLOST$0
Player OLOST$0
Player PLOST$0
Player QLOST$0
Player RLOST$0
Player SLOST$0
Player TLOST$0
Player ULOST$0
Player VLOST$0
Player WLOST$0
Player XLOST$0
Player YLOST$0
Player ZLOST$0
Player AALOST$0
Player ABLOST$0
Player ACLOST$0
Player ADLOST$0
Player AELOST$0
Player AFLOST$0
Player AGLOST$0
Player AHLOST$0
Player AILOST$0
Player AJLOST$0
Player AKLOST$0
Player ALLOST$0
Player AMLOST$0
Player ANLOST$0
Player AOLOST$0
Player APLOST$0
Player AQLOST$0
Player ARLOST$0
Player ASLOST$0
Player ATLOST$0
Player AULOST$0
Player AVLOST$0
Player AWLOST$0
Player AXLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2307-1109-28
Jacob MisiorowskiJeffrey SpringsBryan WooShohei Ohtani
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 96% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "MLB: ERA Leader" resolve?
It resolved Jacob Misiorowski around October 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 95.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$1.8M across 86 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.