Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Josh Allen at 31.5%, ahead of Joe Burrow at 17.3%. $1.4M traded across 29 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
NFL (All)mvpfootballAwardsFootball Awards
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 31.5% | +0.5 |
| Joe Burrow | 17.3% | +1.0 |
| Brock Purdy | 16.6% | +2.7 |
| Caleb Williams | 10.3% | +0.1 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 9.1% | +0.9 |
| Drake Maye | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| Jared Goff | 3.1% | +0.1 |
| Jordan Love | 3.0% | 0.0 |
| Jaxson Smith-Njigba | 2.9% | -0.1 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2.4% | 0.0 |
| Justin Herbert | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Jalen Hurts | 0.7% | -0.4 |
| Bo Nix | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Matthew Stafford | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Dak Prescott | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Lamar Jackson | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 0.1% | -0.3 |
| Jaxson Dart | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Baker Mayfield | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| De'Von Achane | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Christian McCaffrey | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Saquon Barkley | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Derrick Henry | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Sam Darnold | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Justin Jefferson | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Myles Garrett | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Bijan Robinson | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Puka Nacua | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Player J | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Josh Allen is the favorite at 31.5%, followed by Joe Burrow at 17.3%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on March 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $1.4M in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $437K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.