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Home / Markets / MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Resolved market scorecard

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 73.5%; a week before, 37.5%. $4.2M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved December 8, 2025

Price 1 day before

73.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

37.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$4.2M
1 outcome

MicroStrategyWeeklyRecurringCrypto

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$4.2M
NoLOST$4.2M

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-0112-0512-08
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 74% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Frequently asked questions

How did "MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around December 9, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 73.5% one day before close, 37.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$4.2M across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.