LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Resolved market scorecard

Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner: result and scorecard

Resolved INC. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 71.5%; a week before, 45.0%. $472K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

INC
resolved May 4, 2026

Price 1 day before

71.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

45.0%
30 days before: 74.0%

Volume

$472K
37 outcomes

IndiaMain ElectionIndian ElectionsWorld ElectionsElections

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
INCWON$109K
CPI(M)LOST$101K
BJPLOST$72K
NCPLOST$51K
CPILOST$38K
JD(S)LOST$27K
IUMLLOST$21K
BSPLOST$20K
RSPLOST$17K
KEC(M)LOST$16K
OtherLOST$0
Party ALOST$0
Party BLOST$0
Party CLOST$0
Party DLOST$0
Party ELOST$0
Party FLOST$0
Party GLOST$0
Party HLOST$0
Party ILOST$0
Party JLOST$0
Party KLOST$0
Party LLOST$0
Party MLOST$0
Party NLOST$0
Party OLOST$0
Party PLOST$0
Party QLOST$0
Party RLOST$0
Party SLOST$0
Party TLOST$0
Party ULOST$0
Party VLOST$0
Party WLOST$0
Party XLOST$0
Party YLOST$0
Party ZLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-2402-2705-04
INCCPI(M)BJPNCP
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 72% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

Frequently asked questions

How did "Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner" resolve?
It resolved INC around April 9, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 71.5% one day before close, 45.0% one week before and 74.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$472K across 37 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.