Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner: result and scorecard
Resolved INC. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 71.5%; a week before, 45.0%. $472K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
IndiaMain ElectionIndian ElectionsWorld ElectionsElections
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| INC | WON |
| CPI(M) | LOST |
| BJP | LOST |
| NCP | LOST |
| CPI | LOST |
| JD(S) | LOST |
| IUML | LOST |
| BSP | LOST |
| RSP | LOST |
| KEC(M) | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
| Party A | LOST |
| Party B | LOST |
| Party C | LOST |
| Party D | LOST |
| Party E | LOST |
| Party F | LOST |
| Party G | LOST |
| Party H | LOST |
| Party I | LOST |
| Party J | LOST |
| Party K | LOST |
| Party L | LOST |
| Party M | LOST |
| Party N | LOST |
| Party O | LOST |
| Party P | LOST |
| Party Q | LOST |
| Party R | LOST |
| Party S | LOST |
| Party T | LOST |
| Party U | LOST |
| Party V | LOST |
| Party W | LOST |
| Party X | LOST |
| Party Y | LOST |
| Party Z | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner" resolve?
- It resolved INC around April 9, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 71.5% one day before close, 45.0% one week before and 74.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $472K across 37 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.