LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in February?
Resolved market scorecard

Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in February?: result and scorecard

Resolved Down. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 37.5%; a week before, 50.5%. $0 traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Down
resolved March 16, 2026

Price 1 day before

37.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

50.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$0
3 outcomes

EconomyunemploymentIndiaMacro Indicators

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
DownWON$0
UpLOST$0
No ChangeLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-2603-0703-16
DownUpNo Change
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 38% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This is a market about the monthly variation in India’s overall unemployment rate (all-India/overall, persons aged 15 and above) as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) in the monthly Periodic Labor Force Survey (PLFS). This market will resolve to “Up” if the Indian overall unemployment rate is higher in February than in the last published month. This market will resolve to “No Change” if the Indian unemployment rate is the same in February as it was in the last published month. This market will resolve to “Down” if the Indian Unemployment Rate is lower in February than in the last published month. The resolution sources for this market are the MoSPI Monthly Bulletins of the Periodic Labor Force Survey for the relevant months, released every month at https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases The next data release is scheduled for March 16, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data made after this release will not count toward this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1766406009096-ARCupdatedtill20November2025.pdf If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in February?" resolve?
It resolved Down around March 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 37.5% one day before close, 50.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$0 across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.