How did "How long will the GTA 6 "Extended Look" be?" resolve?

It resolved 25+ minutes around August 27, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 83.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / How long will the GTA 6 "Extended Look" be?

Resolved market scorecard

How long will the GTA 6 "Extended Look" be?: result and scorecard

Name: How long will the GTA 6 "Extended Look" be? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved 25+ minutes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 83.5%; a week before, –. $219K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

25+ minutes

resolved August 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

83.5%

Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$219K

9 outcomes

GTA 6 GTA VI Movies gaming Culture

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
25+ minutes	WON	$41K
15+ minutes	WON	$22K
10+ minutes	WON	$18K
20+ minutes	WON	$17K
3+ minutes	WON	$13K
8+ minutes	WON	$11K
5+ minutes	WON	$6K
30+ minutes	LOST	$75K
60+ minutes	LOST	$16K

Price history to resolution

25+ minutes15+ minutes10+ minutes20+ minutes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 84% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Rockstar Games is scheduled to premiere "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" on Netflix on August 27, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the length of "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" as it premieres on Netflix is greater than or equal to the specified duration. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The length will be measured as the total runtime of the video from its first frame to its last frame, as presented on Netflix. This market will resolve solely based on the version released on Netflix. The version subsequently released on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel, the Grand Theft Auto VI website, or any other platform will not be used for resolution purposes. If "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" is not released on Netflix by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the runtime of "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" as displayed on Netflix. Footage of the Netflix premiere may also be used to verify the runtime.

Frequently asked questions

How did "How long will the GTA 6 "Extended Look" be?" resolve?: It resolved 25+ minutes around August 27, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 83.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $219K across 9 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.