Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?: live odds and probabilities
Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 4.8% (+0.5 pts in 24h). $578K has traded on this market.
Yes probability
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.8% | +0.5 |
| No | 95.3% | -0.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gianni Infantino ceases to be the president of FIFA for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Infantino's resignation or firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. Announcements of intention to resign will qualify, regardless of if or when the resignation goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA or Gianni Infantino, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds that Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
- As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 4.8% and No at 95.3%, on $578K of total volume.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $578K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $16K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.