Who is favored in "Country To Be Removed as Host of 2030 World Cup?"?

As of November 6, 2026, Uruguay is the favorite at 25.5%, followed by Portugal at 25.1%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$972 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $1K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Country To Be Removed as Host of 2030 World Cup?

Live market data

Country To Be Removed as Host of 2030 World Cup?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Country To Be Removed as Host of 2030 World Cup? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is Uruguay at 25.5%, ahead of Portugal at 25.1%. $972 traded across 6 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

25.5%

Uruguay · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d +0.3

Volume

$972

24h $0 · liquidity $1K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

FIFA Soccer Sports world cup FIFA World Cup

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Uruguay	25.5%	0.0	+0.3	$275	48.8¢
Portugal	25.1%	0.0	-0.1	$0	49.7¢
Paraguay	25.1%	-0.4	-0.4	$587	49.7¢
Argentina	12.7%	0.0	0.0	$0	24.6¢
Spain	8.1%	+0.1	-0.1	$57	13.6¢
Morocco	3.8%	+0.1	-0.1	$54	5.8¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

UruguayPortugalParaguayArgentina

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if FIFA announces the removal of the listed country as a host nation of the 2030 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately result in a “Yes” resolution for this market. Later retractions or alterations to a qualifying announcement will not affect the resolution of this market. If a qualifying announcement is not made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Uruguay at 26% risks 26¢ to win 75¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Country To Be Removed as Host of 2030 World Cup?"?: As of November 6, 2026, Uruguay is the favorite at 25.5%, followed by Portugal at 25.1%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $972 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $1K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.