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Live market data

World Cup 2030: Location of Final: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 at 48.5%, ahead of Moroccan city at 18.3%. $322K traded across 5 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

48.5%
Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 · Trade →

24h move

+1.0
pts · 7d +3.0

Volume

$322K
24h $2K · liquidity $22K

Closes

July 22, 2030
1354 days left

FIFASoccerSportsworld cupFIFA World Cup

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Other / Unconfirmed by 202848.5% +1.0+3.0$199K1.0¢
Moroccan city18.3% -0.9-3.8$43K1.4¢
Madrid17.8% -0.9+6.3$47K2.3¢
Barcelona1.4% +0.1+0.9$16K1.1¢
Portuguese city0.4% 0.0+0.3$18K0.4¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%08-0609-2111-06
Other / Unconfirmed by 2028Moroccan cityMadridBarcelona

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030. A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own. If FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials. A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final. If no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 at 49% risks 49¢ to win 52¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "World Cup 2030: Location of Final"?
As of November 6, 2026, Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 is the favorite at 48.5%, followed by Moroccan city at 18.3%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on July 22, 2030. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$322K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $22K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.