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Home / Markets / February Unemployment Rate - Japan
Resolved market scorecard

February Unemployment Rate - Japan: result and scorecard

Resolved 2.6%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 14.5%; a week before, 18.5%. $44K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

2.6%
resolved March 31, 2026

Price 1 day before

14.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

18.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$44K
7 outcomes

unemploymentMacro IndicatorsJapanEconomy

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
2.6%WON$3K
2.9%LOST$20K
≤2.4%LOST$14K
2.8%LOST$2K
≥3.0%LOST$2K
2.7%LOST$2K
2.5%LOST$1K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-2403-2703-31
2.6%2.9%≤2.4%2.8%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 14% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Frequently asked questions

How did "February Unemployment Rate - Japan" resolve?
It resolved 2.6% around March 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 14.5% one day before close, 18.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$44K across 7 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.