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Resolved market scorecard

Eurovision 2026: Top 3: result and scorecard

Resolved Bulgaria. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 16.3%; a week before, 7.5%. $591K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Bulgaria
resolved May 17, 2026

Price 1 day before

16.3%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

7.5%
30 days before: 9.5%

Volume

$591K
35 outcomes

MusicCultureAwardsEurovision

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
BulgariaWON$60K
IsraelWON$57K
RomaniaWON$27K
FinlandLOST$124K
GreeceLOST$78K
DenmarkLOST$37K
AustraliaLOST$22K
ItalyLOST$21K
LithuaniaLOST$21K
GeorgiaLOST$17K
GermanyLOST$17K
FranceLOST$16K
PolandLOST$14K
NorwayLOST$12K
UkraineLOST$12K
MaltaLOST$10K
CroatiaLOST$6K
MoldovaLOST$4K
SwedenLOST$3K
BelgiumLOST$3K
AlbaniaLOST$3K
AustriaLOST$3K
PortugalLOST$3K
AzerbaijanLOST$3K
CyprusLOST$3K
LuxembourgLOST$2K
SerbiaLOST$2K
United KingdomLOST$2K
CzechiaLOST$1K
LatviaLOST$1K
ArmeniaLOST$1K
San MarinoLOST$1K
EstoniaLOST$1K
MontenegroLOST$990
SwitzerlandLOST$751

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-1004-1305-17
BulgariaIsraelRomaniaFinland
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 16% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" resolve?
It resolved Bulgaria around May 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 16.3% one day before close, 7.5% one week before and 9.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$591K across 35 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.