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Home / Markets / Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Resolved market scorecard

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner: result and scorecard

Resolved Bulgaria. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 2.8%; a week before, 2.5%. $8.4M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Bulgaria
resolved May 17, 2026

Price 1 day before

2.8%
Market was confident and wrong

Price 7 days before

2.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$8.4M
50 outcomes

MusicEurovisionCultureAwards

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
BulgariaWON$222K
SwedenLOST$2.0M
DenmarkLOST$1.5M
FranceLOST$620K
MoldovaLOST$405K
IsraelLOST$354K
PolandLOST$289K
CyprusLOST$260K
EstoniaLOST$242K
ItalyLOST$179K
AustraliaLOST$175K
RomaniaLOST$164K
UkraineLOST$163K
FinlandLOST$144K
GreeceLOST$128K
MaltaLOST$119K
BelgiumLOST$113K
GermanyLOST$105K
AustriaLOST$101K
LithuaniaLOST$96K
CroatiaLOST$96K
SerbiaLOST$95K
AlbaniaLOST$94K
SwitzerlandLOST$91K
NorwayLOST$90K
AzerbaijanLOST$81K
LuxembourgLOST$76K
San MarinoLOST$74K
United KingdomLOST$64K
CzechiaLOST$58K
ArmeniaLOST$53K
GeorgiaLOST$53K
PortugalLOST$48K
MontenegroLOST$45K
LatviaLOST$39K
Country BLOST$0
Country CLOST$0
Country DLOST$0
Country ELOST$0
Country FLOST$0
Country GLOST$0
Country HLOST$0
Country ILOST$0
Country JLOST$0
Country KLOST$0
Country LLOST$0
Country MLOST$0
Country NLOST$0
Country OLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-2004-1805-17
BulgariaSwedenDenmarkFrance
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 3% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" resolve?
It resolved Bulgaria around May 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 2.8% one day before close, 2.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$8.4M across 50 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.