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Home / Markets / Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by.
Resolved market scorecard

Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved July 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 16.5%; a week before, –. $26K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

July 31
resolved July 25, 2026

Price 1 day before

16.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$26K
3 outcomes

IndiaPoliticsCockroach Party

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
July 31WON$19K
December 31WON$3K
September 30WON$3K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-2207-2307-25
July 31December 31September 30
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 17% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dharmendra Pradhan’s departure as Education Minister is officially announced by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Dharmendra Pradhan, the Ministry of Education of India, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Dharmendra Pradhan has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Minister of Education. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified

Frequently asked questions

How did "Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by...?" resolve?
It resolved July 31 around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 16.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$26K across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.