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Home / Markets / Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15?
Live market data

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Up at 69.5%, ahead of Down at 30.5%. $154K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-15 10:15 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

69.5%
Up · Trade →

24h move

+19.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$154K
24h $155K · liquidity $45K

Closes

November 15, 2026
0 days left

CryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoin

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Up69.5% +19.00.0$154K1.0¢
Down30.5% -19.00.0$154K1.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-15 10:15 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-1311-1411-15
UpDown

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Up at 70% risks 70¢ to win 31¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15?"?
As of November 15, 2026, Up is the favorite at 69.5%, followed by Down at 30.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 15, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$154K in total and $155K in the last 24 hours, with about $45K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.