Bitcoin price on November 12?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 74,000-76,000 at 18.5%, ahead of 76,000-78,000 at 18.5%. $89 traded across 11 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
BitcoinWeeklyNeg RiskCryptoCrypto Prices
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 74,000-76,000 | 18.5% | 0.0 |
| 76,000-78,000 | 18.5% | 0.0 |
| 78,000-80,000 | 15.5% | 0.0 |
| 72,000-74,000 | 15.0% | 0.0 |
| 80,000-82,000 | 9.5% | 0.0 |
| 70,000-72,000 | 8.0% | 0.0 |
| 82,000-84,000 | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| 68,000-70,000 | 5.0% | 0.0 |
| 84,000-86,000 | 3.8% | 0.0 |
| <68,000 | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| >86,000 | 2.5% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Bitcoin price on November 12?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 74,000-76,000 is the favorite at 18.5%, followed by 76,000-78,000 at 18.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 12, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $89 in total and $89 in the last 24 hours, with about $26K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.