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Bitcoin ETF Flows on November 9?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Positive at 50.0%, ahead of Negative at 50.0%. $0 traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

50.0%
Positive · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$0
24h $0 · liquidity $1

Closes

November 9, 2026
4 days left

BitcoinDailyETFCryptoRecurring

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Positive50.0% 0.00.0$098.0¢
Negative50.0% 0.00.0$098.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-0511-0511-06
PositiveNegative

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Monday, November 9, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Positive at 50% risks 50¢ to win 50¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Bitcoin ETF Flows on November 9?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Positive is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Negative at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 9, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$0 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $1 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.