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Home / Markets / Bitcoin ETF Flows on June 15?
Resolved market scorecard

Bitcoin ETF Flows on June 15?: result and scorecard

Resolved Negative. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 49.5%; a week before, –. $3K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Negative
resolved June 16, 2026

Price 1 day before

49.5%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$3K
1 outcome

BitcoinDailyETFCryptoRecurring

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
NegativeWON$3K
PositiveLOST$3K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-1206-1406-16
NegativePositive
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 50% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Monday, June 15, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Bitcoin ETF Flows on June 15?" resolve?
It resolved Negative around June 15, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 49.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$3K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.