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Home / Markets / Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?
Resolved market scorecard

Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?: result and scorecard

Resolved 76,000. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.2%; a week before, 91.0%. $1.6M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

76,000
resolved November 5, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.2%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

91.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$1.6M
11 outcomes

BitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto Prices

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
76,000WON$204K
72,000WON$156K
74,000WON$151K
78,000LOST$302K
82,000LOST$226K
80,000LOST$189K
84,000LOST$173K
92,000LOST$93K
90,000LOST$55K
86,000LOST$52K
88,000LOST$22K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-3011-0211-05
76,00072,00074,00078,000
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?" resolve?
It resolved 76,000 around November 5, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.2% one day before close, 91.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$1.6M across 11 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.