Bitcoin above ___ on November 11?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 70,000 at 93.5%, ahead of 72,000 at 88.5%. $19K traded across 11 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
BitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto Prices
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 70,000 | 93.5% | -4.7 |
| 72,000 | 88.5% | -9.3 |
| 74,000 | 73.6% | -21.4 |
| 76,000 | 52.0% | -37.0 |
| 78,000 | 31.0% | -44.0 |
| 80,000 | 15.5% | -40.0 |
| 82,000 | 6.0% | -28.5 |
| 84,000 | 3.2% | -14.8 |
| 86,000 | 1.1% | -6.9 |
| 90,000 | 0.8% | -1.5 |
| 88,000 | 0.5% | -3.9 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Bitcoin above ___ on November 11?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 70,000 is the favorite at 93.5%, followed by 72,000 at 88.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 11, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $19K in total and $18K in the last 24 hours, with about $284K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.