Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of November 14: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Thriller - Michael Jackson at 50.4%, ahead of Song 2 at 50.0%. $16K traded across 13 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
songMusicalbumCultureRecurring
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Thriller - Michael Jackson | 50.4% | +47.3 |
| Song 2 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Song 3 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Song 4 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Song 5 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Song 6 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Song 7 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Housewife - Tate McRae | 42.7% | -27.6 |
| Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley | 3.1% | 0.0 |
| Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan | 1.9% | -17.3 |
| Patient Zero - Taylor Swift | 1.5% | -0.7 |
| Lies - Zach Bryan Featuring Lana Del Rey | 0.6% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of November 14, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of November 14"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Thriller - Michael Jackson is the favorite at 50.4%, followed by Song 2 at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 11, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $16K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.