Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026: result and scorecard
Resolved Lionel Messi. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 75.5%; a week before, 69.5%. $568K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
FIFAAwardsSoccerSportsBallon d'Or
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | WON |
| Rodri | WON |
| Kylian Mbappé | WON |
| Lamine Yamal | WON |
| Harry Kane | WON |
| Michael Olise | LOST |
| Ousmane Dembélé | LOST |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | LOST |
| Fabian Ruiz | LOST |
| Erling Haaland | LOST |
| Vitinha | LOST |
| Declan Rice | LOST |
| Achraf Hakimi | LOST |
| Jude Bellingham | LOST |
| Pau Cubarsi | LOST |
| Rodrygo | LOST |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | LOST |
| Federico Valverde | LOST |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | LOST |
| Desire Doue | LOST |
| Mohamed Salah | LOST |
| Raphinha | LOST |
| Enzo Fernandez | LOST |
| Pedri | LOST |
| Julian Alvarez | LOST |
| Cole Palmer | LOST |
| Bukayo Saka | LOST |
| Lautaro Martinez | LOST |
| Luis Diaz | LOST |
| Vinícius Júnior | LOST |
| Bruno Fernandes | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve "No." If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final five places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026" resolve?
- It resolved Lionel Messi around January 1, 2027.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 75.5% one day before close, 69.5% one week before and 68.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $568K across 31 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.