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Home / Markets / Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
Resolved market scorecard

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026: result and scorecard

Resolved Harry Kane. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 97.5%; a week before, 97.4%. $1.2M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Harry Kane
resolved October 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

97.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

97.4%
30 days before: 93.3%

Volume

$1.2M
31 outcomes

FIFAAwardsSoccerSportsBallon d'Or

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Harry KaneWON$247K
Kylian MbappéWON$194K
Lamine YamalWON$180K
Lionel MessiLOST$148K
Ousmane DembéléLOST$90K
Michael OliseLOST$88K
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLOST$71K
RodriLOST$57K
Fabian RuizLOST$56K
Pau CubarsiLOST$15K
Erling HaalandLOST$11K
Desire DoueLOST$6K
Declan RiceLOST$3K
Jude BellinghamLOST$3K
Enzo FernandezLOST$3K
Bukayo SakaLOST$2K
Julian AlvarezLOST$2K
Cole PalmerLOST$2K
Federico ValverdeLOST$2K
PedriLOST$2K
Mohamed SalahLOST$2K
Bruno FernandesLOST$1K
RodrygoLOST$1K
Dominik SzoboszlaiLOST$1K
RaphinhaLOST$952
Lautaro MartinezLOST$932
Vinícius JúniorLOST$731
Cristiano RonaldoLOST$532
Achraf HakimiLOST$433
VitinhaLOST$427
Luis DiazLOST$399

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%08-0809-1710-27
Harry KaneKylian MbappéLamine YamalLionel Messi
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 97% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve "No." If more than 3 players tie for the top 3 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official top 3 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final three places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026" resolve?
It resolved Harry Kane around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.5% one day before close, 97.4% one week before and 93.3% one month before.
How much was traded?
$1.2M across 31 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.