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Home / Markets / Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026
Resolved market scorecard

Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026: result and scorecard

Resolved Kylian Mbappé. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 73.0%; a week before, 64.0%. $117K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Kylian Mbappé
resolved October 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

73.0%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

64.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$117K
30 outcomes

FIFAAwardsSoccerSportsBallon d'Or

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Kylian MbappéWON$24K
Harry KaneWON$10K
Lamine YamalLOST$44K
Lionel MessiLOST$4K
Bruno FernandesLOST$4K
Willian PachoLOST$4K
Gabriel MagalhãesLOST$4K
RodriLOST$3K
Lautaro MartinezLOST$3K
Ousmane DembéléLOST$2K
Michael OliseLOST$2K
Jude BellinghamLOST$2K
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLOST$1K
VitinhaLOST$1K
Pau CubarsiLOST$831
Nuno MendesLOST$776
Vinícius JúniorLOST$764
Marc CucurellaLOST$703
Sadio ManéLOST$609
Julián QuiñonesLOST$586
Declan RiceLOST$573
Fabian RuizLOST$550
Luis DiazLOST$550
Achraf HakimiLOST$520
João NevesLOST$478
MarquinhosLOST$465
Dayot UpamecanoLOST$464
William SalibaLOST$437
Ferran TorresLOST$283
Erling HaalandLOST$235

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-1510-2110-27
Kylian MbappéHarry KaneLamine YamalLionel Messi
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 73% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026" resolve?
It resolved Kylian Mbappé around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 73.0% one day before close, 64.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$117K across 30 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.