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Home / Markets / Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026
Resolved market scorecard

Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026: result and scorecard

Resolved Fabian Ruiz. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 71.5%; a week before, 64.0%. $427K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Fabian Ruiz
resolved October 26, 2026

Price 1 day before

71.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

64.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$427K
30 outcomes

FIFAAwardsSoccerSportsHide From New

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Fabian RuizWON$49K
Erling HaalandWON$17K
Khvicha KvaratskheliaWON$16K
Ousmane DembéléWON$11K
Michael OliseWON$11K
Lionel MessiWON$6K
RodriWON$5K
Lamine YamalWON$2K
Kylian MbappéWON$1K
Harry KaneWON$630
Jude BellinghamLOST$137K
VitinhaLOST$37K
Pau CubarsiLOST$28K
Declan RiceLOST$19K
Ferran TorresLOST$13K
Achraf HakimiLOST$12K
Nuno MendesLOST$11K
Bruno FernandesLOST$8K
Marc CucurellaLOST$7K
William SalibaLOST$7K
Luis DiazLOST$5K
Vinícius JúniorLOST$5K
João NevesLOST$5K
Julián QuiñonesLOST$4K
Willian PachoLOST$3K
Lautaro MartinezLOST$3K
Dayot UpamecanoLOST$2K
Gabriel MagalhãesLOST$2K
Sadio ManéLOST$898
MarquinhosLOST$722

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-3010-1310-26
Fabian RuizErling HaalandKhvicha KvaratskheliaOusmane Dembélé
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 72% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 10 players tie for the top 10 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 10 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final ten places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026" resolve?
It resolved Fabian Ruiz around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 71.5% one day before close, 64.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$427K across 30 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.