LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Ballon d'Or 2026: Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi to finish hig
Resolved market scorecard

Ballon d'Or 2026: Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi to finish higher?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yamal. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 93.2%; a week before, –. $1K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yamal
resolved October 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

93.2%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$1K
1 outcome

FIFAAwardsSoccerSportsBallon d'Or

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YamalWON$1K
MessiLOST$1K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-2110-2410-27
YamalMessi
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 93% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yamal" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Lionel Messi in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Messi" if Lionel Messi finishes higher than Lamine Yamal. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Ballon d'Or 2026: Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi to finish higher?" resolve?
It resolved Yamal around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.2% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$1K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.