Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?: result and scorecard
Resolved Mbappé. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 91.5%; a week before, –. $2K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
FIFAAwardsSoccerSportsBallon d'Or
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Mbappé | WON |
| Messi | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Mbappé" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lionel Messi in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Messi" if Lionel Messi finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?" resolve?
- It resolved Mbappé around January 1, 2027.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 91.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $2K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.