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Home / Markets / Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Resolved market scorecard

Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner: result and scorecard

Resolved BJP. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 95.9%; a week before, 95.3%. $229K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

BJP
resolved May 4, 2026

Price 1 day before

95.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

95.3%
30 days before: 95.0%

Volume

$229K
37 outcomes

IndiaMain ElectionIndian ElectionsGlobal ElectionsPolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
BJPWON$70K
INCLOST$45K
CPILOST$17K
BPFLOST$17K
CPI(M)LOST$16K
AITCLOST$14K
AGPLOST$13K
NPEPLOST$12K
NCPLOST$12K
AIUDFLOST$12K
OtherLOST$0
Party ALOST$0
Party BLOST$0
Party CLOST$0
Party DLOST$0
Party ELOST$0
Party FLOST$0
Party GLOST$0
Party HLOST$0
Party ILOST$0
Party JLOST$0
Party KLOST$0
Party LLOST$0
Party MLOST$0
Party NLOST$0
Party OLOST$0
Party PLOST$0
Party QLOST$0
Party RLOST$0
Party SLOST$0
Party TLOST$0
Party ULOST$0
Party VLOST$0
Party WLOST$0
Party XLOST$0
Party YLOST$0
Party ZLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-2402-2705-04
BJPINCCPIBPF
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 96% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).

Frequently asked questions

How did "Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner" resolve?
It resolved BJP around April 9, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 95.9% one day before close, 95.3% one week before and 95.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$229K across 37 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.