Argentina Annual Inflation 2026: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 30.0-34.9% at 69.5%, ahead of 25-29.9% at 18.5%. $91K traded across 7 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
EconomyRecurringArgentinaInflationMacro Indicators
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 30.0-34.9% | 69.5% | -0.1 |
| 25-29.9% | 18.5% | 0.0 |
| 35–39.9% | 4.3% | 0.0 |
| <20% | 1.3% | -0.1 |
| 45%+ | 1.0% | -0.8 |
| 40-44.9% | 0.8% | 0.0 |
| 20-24.9% | 0.6% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Argentina Annual Inflation 2026"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 30.0-34.9% is the favorite at 69.5%, followed by 25-29.9% at 18.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 11, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $91K in total and $29 in the last 24 hours, with about $26K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.