#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?: result and scorecard
Resolved ChatGPT. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 58.5%; a week before, –. $195K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Big TechApp StoreTechAppleCulture
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| ChatGPT | WON |
| Google Gemini | LOST |
| CapCut: Photo & Video Editor | LOST |
| Hallow: Prayer & Meditation | LOST |
| Grok | LOST |
| Threads | LOST |
| LOST | |
| Freecash - Get Paid Real Money | LOST |
| Claude by Anthropic | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
| App B | LOST |
| App C | LOST |
| App D | LOST |
| App E | LOST |
| App F | LOST |
| App G | LOST |
| App H | LOST |
| App I | LOST |
| App J | LOST |
| App K | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?" resolve?
- It resolved ChatGPT around February 20, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 58.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $195K across 20 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.