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Home / Markets / Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 5?
Resolved market scorecard

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 5?: result and scorecard

Resolved Up. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 54.0%; a week before, –. $6K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Up
resolved November 6, 2026

Price 1 day before

54.0%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$6K
1 outcome

FinanceCommoditiesDailyUp or DownDaily-Close

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
UpWON$6K
DownLOST$6K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%11-0511-0511-06
UpDown
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 54% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on November 5, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on November 5, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market will resolve 50-50. Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours trading-hours as listed on Pyth. If a listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. For each trading day, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (closing at 5:00 PM ET) on that date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (closing at 5:00 PM ET), the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved prior to 4:59 PM ET during that trading day as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the closing price for that day may be determined usin

Frequently asked questions

How did "Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 5?" resolve?
It resolved Up around November 5, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 54.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$6K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.