How did "Gold Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET" resolve?

It resolved Up around November 5, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 50.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / Gold Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Resolved market scorecard

Gold Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET: result and scorecard

Name: Gold Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Up. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 50.0%; a week before, –. $594 traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved November 5, 2026

Price 1 day before

50.0%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$594

1 outcome

Finance Gold 15M Up or Down Hide From New

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Up	WON	$594
Down	LOST	$594

Price history to resolution

UpDown

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 50% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Gold price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usd-forexprice-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XAU/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Gold Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET" resolve?: It resolved Up around November 5, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 50.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $594 across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.