Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 93.0%; a week before, –. $74K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Trump PresidencyTrumpTrump CabinetPete Hegseth
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump announces his new pick for Secretary of Defense is Ron DeSantis by December 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first individual picked by Trump to replace Hegseth as US Secretary of Defense - if another person is picked, or Hegseth isn't replaced at all, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Donald Trump, Pete Hegseth, Ron DeSantis, and these individuals' official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?" resolve?
- It resolved No around December 6, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $74K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.