Will TikTok be banned before July?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.5%; a week before, 98.7%. $256K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
TikTokTechTrump PresidencyPolitics
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
On April 4, 2025, President Trump signed an executive order extending the delay of enforcement of the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act, which prohibits TikTok in the United States, until June 19, 2025 (see:https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/extending-the-tiktok-enforcement-delay/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. government ban that prohibits access or use of the TikTok app by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between April 17, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Trump’s executive order delaying enforcement of the ban expires or is removed without TikTok coming into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether enforcement action is taken by the U.S. government. If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will TikTok be banned before July?" resolve?
- It resolved No around June 30, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.5% one day before close, 98.7% one week before and 93.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $256K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.