Live market data
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?: live odds and probabilities
Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 5.3% (-0.1 pts in 24h). $10K has traded on this market.
Yes probability
5.3%
No 94.7% · Trade →
24h move
-0.1
pts · 7d -0.7
Volume
$10K
24h $0 · liquidity $444
Closes
January 1, 2027
56 days left
token launchPre-MarketAICryptoTech
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5.3% | -0.1 |
| No | 94.7% | +0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Price history
Yes
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. The resolution source will be public announcements from OpenAI.
How to read this market
Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 5% risks 5¢ to win 95¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds that Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
- As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 5.3% and No at 94.7%, on $10K of total volume.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $10K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $444 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.