Who is favored in "Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?"?

As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2027 is the favorite at 70.9%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 42.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$646K in total and $5K in the last 24 hours, with about $23K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

Live market data

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will Arc launch a token by ___ ? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is December 31, 2027 at 70.9%, ahead of June 30, 2027 at 42.0%. $646K traded across 3 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

70.9%

December 31, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

+1.1

pts · 7d -3.3

Volume

$646K

24h $5K · liquidity $23K

Closes

January 1, 2028

421 days left

token launch Crypto Pre-Market Arc

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
December 31, 2027	70.9%	+1.1	-3.3	$9K	2.7¢
June 30, 2027	42.0%	-0.5	-7.0	$21K	2.0¢
December 31, 2026	2.9%	-1.1	-1.7	$209K	0.5¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

December 31, 2027June 30, 2027December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31, 2027 at 71% risks 71¢ to win 29¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?"?: As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2027 is the favorite at 70.9%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 42.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $646K in total and $5K in the last 24 hours, with about $23K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.